К.А. Замураев, А.В. Прасолов.
Модель регулирования экономики Санкт-Петербурга за счет инвестиционного потока
// Труды КарНЦ РАН. No 1. Сер. Математическое моделирование и информационные технологии. Вып. 4. 2013. C. 38-45
K.A. Zamuraev, A.V. Prasolov. Model of regulating the St. Petersburg economy by the investment flow // Transactions of Karelian Research Centre of Russian Academy of Science. No 1. Mathematical Modeling and Information Technologies. Vol. 4. 2013. Pp. 38-45
Keywords: company turnover, investments into fixed capital, endogenous parameters, regression model, investment management.
A model of managing investments into fixed capital in order to reach certain levels of company turnover is considered. The process is modeled with the assumption that investments into fixed capital and the company turnover are related by a regression function, simultaneously having endogenous nature. The model is based on statistical data from St. Petersburg. The model parameters are found using OLS. The inflationary component is taken into account, a special smoothing scheme for statistical data is suggested, the investment forecast is compared with actual data.
